Trump Faces Diminishing Approval Ratings in Republican Strongholds

Reports indicate President Donald Trump is experiencing a dip in his approval ratings in several states he won by significant margins in the 2024 election. This trend suggests growing discontent with his leadership, even in areas that previously showed strong support for him. Nationally, Trump’s approval has fallen to 36 percent, with a disapproval rate of 59 percent as of July 30. This results in a net approval rating of -24, as highlighted by Civiqs’ ongoing online survey of registered voters, amassing over 120,000 responses since Trump commenced his second term on January 20, 2025.

Although the highest approval ratings come from solidly Republican states, 11 states that Trump carried by over 10 points in the 2024 elections now show negative approval ratings for him. This includes states like Alaska (-14), Florida (-12), and Iowa (-14). The shift in these states may significantly affect the upcoming midterm elections, potentially altering control in Congress.

Trump’s Approval Ratings Drop

In states he won by decisive margins in 2024, Trump’s approval has notably decreased since he took office for a second term in January 2025. The decline is observable in at least 11 such states. For some regions, Trump’s announcement of tariffs in April last year and declaring war with Iran in February has coincided with dwindling approval numbers. For example, Kentucky now shows a -3 net approval rating, while Missouri reports a -7.

The Civiqs poll reveals negative ratings in these states, listing them as follows:

• Alaska: -14 (40 percent approve, 54 percent disapprove)
• Florida: -12 (42 percent approve, 54 percent disapprove)
• Iowa: -14 (44 percent approve, 49 percent disapprove)
• Kentucky: -3 (39 percent approve, 53 percent disapprove)
• Louisiana: -4 (45 percent approve, 49 percent disapprove)
• Missouri: -7 (44 percent approve, 51 percent disapprove)
• Mississippi: -1 (47 percent approve, 48 percent disapprove)
• Nebraska: -3 (45 percent approve, 48 percent disapprove)
• Ohio: -13 (40 percent approve, 53 percent disapprove)
• South Carolina: -9 (42 percent approve, 51 percent disapprove)
• Texas: -13 (40 percent approve, 54 percent disapprove)

Even states where his ratings remain high have seen declines. For instance, Wyoming shifted from a +45 to +19 net approval. In North Dakota, the rating dropped from +31 to +19.

Key Races to Monitor

The Democratic party needs to win four more seats in November to seize control of the Senate. Iowa, Ohio, and Texas have become focal points. In Iowa, Democratic candidate Josh Turek is contending with Republican incumbent Ashley Hinson. Ohio’s race features Democrat Sherrod Brown vying against Republican Jon Husted. Texas spotlights Democrat James Talarico challenging Republican Ken Paxton. Each state saw Trump’s victory in 2024, yet now demonstrates declining approval ratings.

Decline in Swing States

Trump’s ongoing drop in approval ratings extends to seven swing states he won in the 2024 presidential race. If this trend continues, Republicans may face challenges in the upcoming midterms, allowing Democrats opportunities to gain key seats. Here are the troubled states:

• Arizona: -12 (42 percent approve, 53 percent disapprove)
• Georgia: -22 (36 percent approve, 58 percent disapprove)
• Michigan: -21 (37 percent approve, 58 percent disapprove)
• Nevada: -21 (37 percent approve, 58 percent disapprove)
• North Carolina: -15 (40 percent approve, 55 percent disapprove)
• Pennsylvania: -18 (38 percent approve, 56 percent disapprove)
• Wisconsin: -16 (40 percent approve, 56 percent disapprove)

White House’s Response

Despite these low poll numbers, the White House continues to anchor in the mandate Trump received in the 2024 election. Davis Ingle, a White House spokesman, reiterates that voters endorsed Trump’s agenda, emphasizing his significant progress domestically and globally. Ingle maintains that Trump still commands a prominent position in American politics.