South Carolina Senate Primary: Graham and Norman Head to Runoff

Republicans Heading to Runoff

In the South Carolina Senate primary, Republicans Darline Graham and Ralph Norman advanced to a runoff. They will face Democrat Annie Andrews in the November general election. The runoff resulted from no candidate achieving 50% of the vote in the special primary. CNN and AP announced Graham and Norman’s advancement shortly before 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday.

Despite an endorsement from former President Donald Trump, Graham received only 32.6% of the vote, while Norman secured 24%. The Democratic primary already saw Annie Andrews, a pediatrician, claiming the nomination in June.

Special Election Circumstances

The special primary took place following Lindsey Graham’s death on July 11 due to an aortic dissection. Graham had been South Carolina’s senator since 2003. His unexpected passing led Republicans to choose a new candidate, as he had previously won the party’s nomination in June. With Trump’s recommendation, Governor Henry McMaster appointed Darline Graham to fulfill Lindsey Graham’s term.

South Carolina’s Political Landscape

Annie Andrews faces a challenge in a state that last voted Democratic at the presidential level in 1976. South Carolina supported Trump by 18 points in 2024, indicating a strong Republican presence. However, some Democrats are hopeful for a shift by 2026, given Trump’s declining approval ratings and concerns over inflation and living costs.

At a campaign event, Norman expressed his desire to unite voters. Although acknowledging he might not be the top choice, he emphasized the importance of coming together with a strong message and resume. He talked about the need for involvement in his campaign.

Norman’s Position and Campaign

Norman sought Trump’s endorsement but was declined, saying the decision is ultimately up to South Carolina voters. He mentioned his eagerness for debates to learn about Graham’s policies, focusing on issues like pro-life stances, the death penalty, and spending.

Annie Andrews discussed Medicaid cuts and gas prices during her campaign, noting her fundraising boost and grassroots support. She criticized the Republican “race to the right,” suggesting it disconnects from voter perspectives.

Upcoming Runoff Election

Following Tuesday’s primary, Graham and Norman will proceed to the runoff on August 25. This brief period before the runoff allows both candidates to solidify their stance for a November nomination, with early voting scheduled for August 19-21.

The primary attracted noteworthy candidates including Darline Graham, Representative Norman, Representative Russell Fry, former Governor Mark Sanford, and Mark Lynch. Trump’s endorsement initially positioned Graham as the frontrunner, yet it wasn’t enough for an outright victory.

Democratic Chances

Polling hasn’t offered clear insights into Andrews’ chances, with her campaign’s internal poll suggesting competitive races against Republican opponents. However, prediction markets favor Republicans with substantial odds. Organizations like Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as firmly Republican.

Andrews remains optimistic, reporting feedback from Republicans expressing dissatisfaction with their party’s current direction, seeking a return to more moderate roots.

South Carolina’s History

Historically, South Carolina has leaned Republican, with no Democratic presidential victories since 1976. The state supported Trump in recent elections, and it last elected a Democratic senator in 1998. Efforts to increase Democratic competitiveness have faced challenges due to racial polarization and differing regional political inclinations.

Earlier attempts, like Jaime Harrison’s 2020 bid against Graham, drew attention but ultimately resulted in a defeat by about 10 points. Governor McMaster won by 8 points in 2018, showing competitive, albeit challenging races for Democrats.