Democratic candidate James Talarico is making headlines in his bid to win Texas’ U.S. Senate seat. Supported by notable figures such as billionaire Mark Cuban, television science educator Bill Nye, the Chicks, and Eagles co-founder Don Henley, Talarico aims to become the first Democrat elected to the Senate from Texas since 1988.
The state representative from Austin, a former middle school teacher, has attracted endorsements, campaign appearances, and financial backing from various celebrities, driving record fundraising. Such endorsements have become a point of contention for his opponents, with the Republican National Committee portraying Talarico as more aligned with California’s political climate than Texas.
James Talarico vs. Ken Paxton: Polls and Perspectives
As early voting approaches, Talarico holds a narrow lead. According to a New York Times/Siena College poll conducted from September 21 to 30, Talarico is ahead with 51% against Ken Paxton’s 45%, based on responses from 615 likely voters. The poll has a margin of error of ±4.5 percentage points.
A Fox News poll shows a closer race, with Talarico leading by 51% to Paxton’s 49%, falling within a 3-point margin of error. Concerns among respondents include worries that Talarico is too liberal, while Paxton is seen as closely aligned with former President Donald Trump.
Paxton’s campaign relies on an internal survey claiming a lead of 48% to 45%. His senior adviser, Nick Maddux, insists their numbers have improved since early September.
Talarico gained traction after defeating Senator John Cornyn in the Republican primary runoff. Polls have fluctuated over the months, with both candidates showing strong support at different times.
Celebrity Endorsements Fuel Record Fundraising
Talarico’s campaign has raised approximately $27 million in early 2026, marking the largest initial quarter fundraising for a Senate candidate during an election year. Small donors drove the bulk of the donations, but significant contributions from celebrities have drawn attention. The Dallas Morning News noted donations ranging from $25 to $3,500, the federal cap per election.
Mark Cuban has emerged as Talarico’s prominent ally. Cuban states his confidence in Talarico, expressing during a podcast that Talarico is honest and committed. Bill Nye launched a campaign video advocating for Talarico through a coalition named Teachers for Talarico, highlighting Talarico’s history as a teacher.
The Chicks have also demonstrated their support, publicly wearing “Talafreako” T-shirts, a nickname originally used as an insult by Paxton. The campaign capitalized on it, selling shirts with the slogan.
Don Henley has become instrumental in supporting Texas Democrats, contributing $250,000 to Lone Star Rising, a super PAC backing Talarico with over $6 million in digital ads since late August.
Other notable contributors include Damon Lindelof, Holland Taylor, Dave Matthews, Nancy Wilson, and Jackson Browne, showing wide-ranging entertainment industry backing.
Importance of the Texas Senate Race in Midterms
With Republicans holding a 53-47 Senate majority, Democrats aim to flip four Republican seats for outright control. A 50-50 Senate would maintain Republican control due to Vice President JD Vance’s tie-breaking vote.
Texas has become a battleground with Paxton defeating Cornyn in the runoff, raising concerns about Paxton’s legal controversies potentially affecting the seat. Talarico leads in crucial states like Texas, Alaska, and Ohio, according to recent polling.
The financial scope reflects the stakes, with Talarico raising over $70 million by June 30. Meanwhile, Elon Musk’s American PAC has spent approximately $8.7 million against Talarico, and Trump actively supports Paxton.
Historical Context
Texas last elected a Democrat to the Senate in 1988, with Lloyd Bentsen as the victor. Bentsen initially won in 1970, defeating George H.W. Bush. Bentsen served until his resignation in 1993 and was succeeded by Democrat Bob Krueger, who then lost to Republican Kay Bailey Hutchison.
The Democratic Party hasn’t seen statewide victories since 1994, with Beto O’Rourke’s close 2018 Senate run against Ted Cruz showing potential for change. A Talarico victory would mark the end of this long-standing drought for Democrats.

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