Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs: Game 4 Preview and Analysis

The Oklahoma City Thunder delivered a standout performance against the San Antonio Spurs in the 2026 Western Conference Finals Game 3. Overcoming a 15-point deficit, the Thunder secured a 123-108 victory, thanks to their bench strength and effective rebounding strategies. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team with 26 points and a flawless 12-of-12 from the free-throw line.

The decisive Game 4 looms, with Oklahoma City holding a 2-1 series advantage. The team’s depth may face challenges, given that All-Star Jalen Williams might miss the game and Ajay Mitchell is confirmed out. With the roles of key players in question, the bench’s performance becomes crucial once again.

Analysis and Predictions for Game 4

Expectations for the upcoming matchup are influenced by the performances from Game 3. Here’s a closer look at the betting considerations for Game 4:

• San Antonio Spurs -2.5 at FanDuel, risking 1.1 units:
• Thunder SG Jared McCain UNDER 13.5 points at DraftKings, risking 0.63 units:
• Spurs C Victor Wembanyama OVER 13.5 rebounds at DraftKings, risking 0.5 units.

Jared McCain is not expected to replicate his career-best playoff performance in Game 4. Despite his 24 points in Game 3, uncertainty over his usage in the upcoming game and potential coaching adjustments from the Spurs suggest a regression.

In contrast, Victor Wembanyama is projected to make a significant impact on the boards. Following a disappointing rebounding performance in Game 3, he aims to exceed 13.5 rebounds, which he achieved in seven of his 13 postseason games, excluding games with injuries or ejections.

Series Outlook

While the Thunder demonstrated resilience and skill, doubts remain about their capacity to surpass the Spurs, especially without Jalen Williams. The Spurs’ potential to advance remains strong, contingent on adjustments and Wembanyama’s dominance.

Predicted Score: Spurs 113, Thunder 107

For further insights, engage with me on X @Geoffery-Clark, and explore additional betting content on the OutKick Bets Podcast.