Meteorologists expect thunderstorms and rain on Tuesday across several states, which could disrupt in-person voting in four crucial battleground states during the midterm elections. These states are important as the outcome could sway control of Congress. Republicans aim to hold onto their slim majority, while Democrats need a net gain of four Senate seats and three House seats to gain control. Voter turnout is essential, as many races are closely contested, and a small number of votes could determine the winner on November 3.
Turnout has already been strong. Several states have recorded early voting highs. For example, Texas kicked off early voting with a record number of 19 million registered voters. Georgia saw over 2 million early votes. Other states like Alaska might meet or exceed their previous turnout records.
Despite high early voting, many voters plan to vote on Election Day, but bad weather could interfere. According to AccuWeather’s forecast, rain and storms are predicted in central U.S. states. This includes North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri, Arkansas, Louisiana, Wisconsin, Illinois, Tennessee, Mississippi, Michigan, and New York. Key Senate races in Iowa, Texas, Michigan, and Kansas could be affected.
Election Day Forecasts in Battleground States
Iowa: Republican Ashley Hinson and Democrat Josh Turek are in a tight race for the U.S. Senate. Rain is forecasted statewide on Election Day, influencing voter turnout.
Texas: In a traditionally Republican state, Ken Paxton and James Talarico’s Senate race has grown competitive. Thunderstorms are expected in the east, including major cities like Houston and Dallas.
Michigan: Democrat Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers compete closely for an open Senate seat. The forecast indicates rain across Michigan on Tuesday.
Kansas: Republican Roger Marshall faces Democrat Adam Hamilton. Although Kansas hasn’t elected a Democratic senator since 1932, the race remains close. Most of Kansas will experience rain, with thunderstorms confined to the far east.
Options for Early Voting
Voters wanting to avoid poor weather should consider early voting. Tennessee and Louisiana’s early voting period has ended. Other states have specific deadlines: October 30 for Texas and Illinois, October 31 for Mississippi and Oklahoma, November 1 for Wisconsin, Michigan, and New York, and November 2 for Iowa, Kansas, South Dakota, Nebraska, Minnesota, Missouri, and Arkansas. North Dakota’s date varies by location.

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