Kamala Harris Leads Democratic Poll for 2028

Former Vice President Kamala Harris holds a 15-point lead over California Governor Gavin Newsom in a new poll of potential Democratic presidential candidates for 2028. This poll, conducted by the Financial Times and Focaldata, shows 30 percent support for Harris and 15 percent for Newsom among respondents considering the Democratic nomination. Other figures in the poll include former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who are tied at 9 percent, and Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff at 8 percent.

The survey took place between October 2 and October 5, involving 2,553 U.S. adults. While it measures party preference for congressional control, rather than specific race support, these results come shortly before the November midterm elections and amid speculation about the future Democratic leadership following President Donald Trump’s second term. Previous surveys consistently placed Harris ahead of other potential candidates, reinforcing her position as an early front-runner.

A Harvard CAPS/Harris poll in late September showed Harris at 38 percent and Newsom at 17 percent. An Echelon Insights poll earlier found her leading Newsom 24 percent to 14 percent. These findings may highlight uncertainties regarding a presidential race that is over two years away, as neither Harris nor Newsom has announced a campaign for 2028.

Kamala Harris’s 2028 Considerations

Kamala Harris remains undecided about a 2028 White House campaign. After losing to Trump in 2024, she has remained active with Democratic donors and candidates. Her position attracts scrutiny, considering her experience and support base. However, some Democrats emphasize the need for a new candidate following the 2024 defeat.

Despite strong primary polling, potential voters’ preferences can change over time. Harris’s decision remains crucial for other Democrats considering their own campaigns.

Gavin Newsom’s Stance

Governor Gavin Newsom indicated he would not challenge Harris if she runs for president. In a CNN interview, he stated, “I wouldn’t do that to her. I wouldn’t waste everybody’s time.” Newsom recognizes their overlapping support bases, questioning the usefulness of competing against Harris.

Newsom also considered a 2024 run but felt unprepared. While his recent activities build a national profile, especially as a Trump critic, he’d consider a 2028 campaign only if Harris abstains.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s Position

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has neither ruled out a presidential nor Senate run for 2028. She emphasized focusing on the midterms. Her ambitions extend beyond political office, as she aims to transform the country.

In the latest survey, Ocasio-Cortez ties with Buttigieg and trails Harris and Newsom. Other Democratic prospects include Governors Josh Shapiro, Andy Beshear, and JB Pritzker, none of whom has formally entered the presidential race.

Newsweek contacted representatives for Harris, Newsom, and Ocasio-Cortez for comments.

Republican Polling Status

Vice President JD Vance leads potential Republican candidates in the same Financial Times/Focaldata survey, with 38 percent support. Secretary of State Marco Rubio follows at 24 percent, Governor Ron DeSantis at 9 percent, and Donald Trump Jr. at 7 percent. Such results align with earlier Republican primary polls, showcasing Vance’s stable position.

Similar to Democrats, Republican poll numbers offer only early voter preferences rather than a conclusive picture of candidates.

Democrats’ Midterm Advancements

The survey reveals Democrats holding an eight-point generic congressional ballot lead over Republicans ahead of the November midterms. As the 2026 elections approach, these results provide insight into the broader political climate, with prospective presidential candidates shaping their national influence.

Newsweek editors Tobias Meyjes and James Debens contributed to this story.