Prime Minister Mark Carney of Canada expressed concerns about Alberta’s planned referendum on October 19 for potential separation from Canada. Using his experience with Brexit as a reference, Carney warned that the referendum might be a ‘dangerous bluff.’
Carney’s insights come from his tenure as the governor of the Bank of England during Britain’s 2016 vote to leave the European Union. The referendum resulted in unexpected consequences that the UK is still addressing nearly a decade later. Carney highlighted how voters and politicians initially thought the Brexit vote would facilitate negotiations to remain in the EU, but the reality turned out to be different.
Alberta’s Premier Danielle Smith’s push for the referendum has sparked widespread criticism. The vote will determine whether Albertans wish to continue as part of Canada or proceed with a separate binding referendum to secede. The phrasing of the referendum has drawn particular ire, with pro-independence groups feeling their pursuit of independence is curtailed. Conversely, supporters of staying in Canada are upset by the mere suggestion of separation.
Reflecting on his experience with Brexit, Carney recalled advising against it as Britain’s central bank governor. This stance received criticism for supposedly overstepping his apolitical role. Nevertheless, post-Brexit, Carney faced the challenge of setting monetary policies to stabilize the British economy and currency, which were adversely affected.
Overall, Carney’s remarks aim to caution against underestimating the long-term consequences of referenda decisions. His warning underscores the potential pitfalls Alberta might face if it proceeds with the separation vote.

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