Trump Faces Declining Approval Ratings Ahead of 2026 Midterm Elections

Overview of Trump’s Current Approval Ratings

With the 2026 midterm elections approaching, President Donald Trump’s approval ratings have declined significantly. Data from Civiqs’ online tracking poll shows a national approval rate of 35 percent and disapproval at 59 percent, with a net approval of minus 24.

State-Level Approval

Trump’s support remains strongest in Republican states, with Wyoming leading at a net approval of +22. North Dakota and West Virginia follow closely. However, even some Republican-leaning states like Tennessee and Utah are now evenly divided.

Battleground States

The president faces challenges in all major swing states, where his net approval is negative:

• Arizona: -14
• Florida: -10
• Georgia: -23
• Nevada: -23
• North Carolina: -16
• Ohio: -17
• Pennsylvania: -18
• Wisconsin: -18

Comparison with Previous Midterms

Trump’s approval ratings have worsened since the 2018 midterm elections, where he stood at minus 10. The current national net approval of minus 24 points reflects a significant decline.

Demographic Breakdown

Age and Education

Younger voters, aged 18 to 34, heavily disapprove of Trump, with only 22 percent approval. Education divides are significant; postgraduates show a 23 percent approval rate, much lower than non-graduate rates.

Gender and Independence

Women disapprove by wide margins, while independents are similarly unfavorable. Men are evenly split, but still trend negatively overall.

Decline in Support

Many states exhibit substantial drops in net approval from January 2025:

• Kentucky: from +23 to -7
• Oklahoma: from +31 to +4
• Wyoming: from +47 to +22
• Ohio: from +8 to -17

White House Response

Despite polling challenges, the White House focuses on success in jobs, inflation, and housing affordability. Spokesperson Davis Ingle asserts Trump’s accomplishments as unparalleled, emphasizing ongoing efforts and future impact.