The deployment of National Guard members in Washington, D.C., reduced petty property crimes but had little impact on violent crime. This information comes from a recent analysis by the nonpartisan Niskanen Center. Although this move by President Trump has decreased some minor crimes, the cost to taxpayers remains high.
The study coincides with federal plans to double the number of troops in D.C. to 5,000 for a “summer surge” in law enforcement, linked to events celebrating America’s 250th birthday. Since last August, Trump has used the National Guard as part of the Safe and Beautiful Task Force aimed at crime reduction and city beautification.
Currently, about 2,800 National Guard members are stationed in D.C., with contributions from the city and several Republican-led states. Unlike other deployments, Trump holds authority over the Guard in D.C. Soldiers can detain individuals but cannot perform arrests. Their primary task is to conduct “high visibility patrols” to improve police reallocation to higher-crime regions. Yet, the study suggests this reallocation has not effectively materialized.
The presence of the Guard decreased “opportunistic” crimes like property crimes by 24%. However, violent crime rates, including robberies, did not decline, continuing their pre-existing downward trend. The report described the Guard deployment as a “blunt and expensive instrument.” A Congressional Budget Office assessment revealed that the operation costs the government approximately $1.5 million daily.
Richard Hahn, one of the study’s authors, commented on its findings: “The deployment is not a complete failure, but alternative policing strategies might yield similar or better results at a lower cost.” In response, White House spokesperson Abigail Jackson dismissed the study, asserting the task force has reduced crime and enhanced city life, without presenting evidence.
The timeline for ending the “summer surge,” or returning Guard numbers to current levels, remains unclear. Assistant Attorney General Colin M. McDonald stated their ongoing mission in D.C.: “We are coming for perfection and won’t rest until we reclaim every inch of ground from anyone seeking harm in our nation’s capital.” NPR’s request for more details from task force officials went unanswered.

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